Jerry's Texas High School Football Ratings
                               
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2004 Season    www.TexasFootballRatings.com   2004 Season

2004 season previews: District 19-5A
District 19-5A
Preseason Ratings:
(2004 returning letterman, offensive and defensive starters, letterman lost, 2004 preseason rating, school's population, last year's 2003 overall and district record, and preseason regional, state, and overall rankings, UIL Change if your school moved up or down after realignment.) 
District 19 (RL-OS-DS-LL) Rating Pop 2003 Record Reg ST ALL Up or Down
a - Katy (18-3-3-65) 191.81 3209 (15-1)(6-0) 2 5 5 
b - Alief Taylor (22-3-8-42) 165.07 2941 (8-3)(4-2) 18 69 95 
c - Katy Taylor (22-6-7-38) 155.29 2635 (5-5)(3-3) 30 113 179 
d - Alief Elsik (20-2-4-55) 155.26 4062 (5-6)(3-3) 31 114 180 
Alief Hastings (20-5-6-30) 152.82 3947 (2-8)(1-5) 34 132 209 
e - Houston Strake Jesuit (15-5-3-22) 151.60 836 (9-2)(0-0) 36 140 225 Prvt Ind. to UIL
Katy Cinco Ranch (23-6-5-48) 150.04 3239 (4-6)(2-4) 42 166 264 
Katy Mayde Creek (8-1-1-65) 137.76 3402 (4-6)(2-4) 63 227 442 
a--Projected to go to the Div. I Quarters a - Beat Southlake Carroll 16-15,  5A Div. II State Championship
b--Projected to go to Div. II Bi-Dist b - Lost 21-12 to SL/FB Hightower 5A Div. II Bi-district
c--Projected to go to the Div. II Bi-Dist d - Lost 28-21 to SL/FB Kempner 5A Div. I Bi-district
e - Jesuit Bowl Champion
Check out the Coaches Preseason Top 10 and District projections along with My Top 10.
The coaches rankings and district projections are based on totals of every questionnaire that was received with points awarded for 1st thru 10th place.  Teams with 1st place votes are in parenthesis.
Coaches 5A Top 10 Points   Jerry's 5A Top 10 Rating   Coaches Picks
1 Southlake Carroll (24) 414  1 Southlake Carroll (Div. I) 205.78  District 19
2 Galena Park North Shore (10) 300  2 Denton Ryan (Div. II) 204.85  1 Katy
3 Katy (10) 289  3 Allen 202.74  2 Alief Taylor
4 Conroe The Woodlands (7) 265  4 Galena Park North Shore 200.45  3 Alief Elsik
5 Lufkin (4) 226  5 Katy 191.81  4 Katy Cinco Ranch
6 Denton Ryan (3) 147  6 Conroe The Woodlands 189.67  5 Katy Taylor
7 Arlington Lamar 114  7 Aldine Eisenhower 189.26  6 Alief Hastings
8 Tyler Lee 114  8 Arlington Lamar 188.25  7 Katy Mayde Creek
9 Allen 113  9 Dallas Carter 188.23  8 Houston Strake Jesuit
10 Midland Lee (1) 104  10 Midland Lee 187.97   
 
Season records over the past decade
District 19 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 Yrs Rec Total %
Katy (13-2) (9-3) (10-2) (14-1) (13-2) (14-2) (16-0) (8-4) (11-4) (15-1) 10 (123-21-0) 0.85
Alief Hastings (7-3-1) (4-6) (7-4) (14-2) (6-4) (9-4) (10-3) (9-3) (11-3) (2-8) 10 (79-40-1) 0.66
Houston Strake Jesuit (6-4-1) (6-4) (8-2) (5-5) (6-5) (6-5) (9-1) (10-0) (7-3) (9-2) 10 (72-31-1) 0.70
Alief Elsik (3-7) (5-5) (5-5-1) (8-3) (8-5) (8-5) (9-5) (5-6) (9-4) (5-6) 10 (65-51-1) 0.56
Katy Mayde Creek (7-4) (4-4-2) (5-6) (10-2) (3-7) (1-9) (6-4) (5-5) (4-6) (4-6) 10 (49-53-2) 0.48
Katy Taylor (3-5-2) (5-5-1) (5-5) (3-7) (2-8) (3-7) (2-8) (4-6) (3-7) (5-5) 10 (35-63-3) 0.36
Katy Cinco Ranch (0-0) (0-0) (0-0) (0-0) (0-0) (0-0) (1-9) (2-8) (6-4) (4-6) 4 (13-27-0) 0.33
Alief Taylor (0-0) (0-0) (0-0) (0-0) (0-0) (0-0) (0-0) (0-0) (1-9) (8-3) 2 (9-12-0) 0.43
Team Outlook
Alief Elsik - Coach Bill Barron (57-39-1) at Alief Elsik and (160-119-6) Overall, returns 20 letterman 2 offensive 4 defensive starters with 55 letterman lost from a (5-6) 5A Div. I Bi-district playoff team. 
Alief Hastings  - Coach Wade Luker (2-8-0) at Alief Hastings and (2-8-0) Overall, Offense (Multiple I), Defense (4-3), returns 20 letterman 5 offensive 6 defensive starters with 30 letterman lost from a (2-8) team.  Overall Strength (both offense and defense), Strengths on offense (running back, receiver, kicker), Strengths on defense (defensive line, linebacker, punter).  Notes from the Coach:  Quality players returning from varsity and a good group coming from the JV and Soph. (district champs).  Charles Tolden or Leroy Betts are developing at QB and the offensive line is showing improvement.  The defense with several starters returning are stepping up and playing a leadership role.
Alief Taylor - Coach Tom Gerber (9-12-0) at Alief Taylorand (9-12-0) Overall, Offense (Multiple I), Defense (Split / Multiple), returns 22 letterman 3 offensive 8 defensive starters with 42 letterman lost from a (8-3) 5A Div. II Bi-district playoff team.  Overall Strength (defense), Strengths on offense (running back), Strengths on defense (linebacker).
Houston Strake Jesuit - Coach Ron Counter, returns 15 letterman 5 offensive 3 defensive starters with 22 letterman lost from a (9-2) Jesuit Bowl Champion team.  Note from the Coach: This will be there first year in competing in UIL, as before they competed as an independent private school.
Katy  - Coach Gary Joseph, Offense (Pro I), Defense (3-4), returns 18 letterman 3 offensive 3 defensive starters with 65 letterman lost from a (15-1) 5A Div. II State Champion team.  Overall Strength (defense), Strengths on offense (running back), Strengths on defense (linebacker).  Notes from the Coach:  I expect this team to very competitive.  We have maturing to do in the secondary and offensive line.  The secondary graduated 3 2-year starters and has just 2 lettermen returning.  The offense returns 2000 yard rusher James Aston, who must carry the bulk of the offense early on.
Katy Cinco Ranch - Coach Don Clayton (13-27-0) at Katy Cinco Ranch and (23-57-0) Overall, returns 23 letterman 6 offensive 5 defensive starters with 48 letterman lost from a (4-6) team. 
Katy Mayde Creek  - Coach Joe Sheffy (60-64-2) at Katy Mayde Creek and (60-64-2) Overall, Offense (I ), Defense (50), returns 8 letterman 1 offensive 1 defensive starters with 65 letterman lost from a (4-6)  team.  Overall Strength (defense), Strengths on offense (running back), Strengths on defense (defensive back).  Notes from the Coach:  Should be better on defense.  We must find some offensive linemen in order to compete.
Katy Taylor  - Coach Bill Lane (18-32-0) at Katy Taylor and (18-32-0) Overall, Offense (One Back), Defense (3-4), returns 22 letterman 6 offensive 7 defensive starters with 38 letterman lost from a (5-5)  team.  Overall Strength (defense) Strengths on offense (quarterback, running back) Strengths on defense linebacker, defensive back) Notes from the Coach: We will have a solid core of defensive starters that must step up.