Jerry's Texas High School Football Ratings
                               
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2004 Season    www.TexasFootballRatings.com   2004 Season

2004 season previews: District 5-5A
District 5-5A
Preseason Ratings:
(2004 returning letterman, offensive and defensive starters, letterman lost, 2004 preseason rating, school's population, last year's 2003 overall and district record, and preseason regional, state, and overall rankings, UIL Change if your school moved up or down after realignment.) 
District 5 (RL-OS-DS-LL) Rating Pop 2003 Record Reg ST ALL Up or Down
a - Southlake Carroll (27-6-5-34) 205.78 2213 (15-1)(5-0) 1 1 1 
b - Denton Ryan (25-8-6-20) 204.85 1981 (14-2)(7-0) 2 2 2 4A to 5A
c - Grapevine (21-6-6-22) 167.71 2053 (8-3)(6-1) 15 48 70 
Keller Fossil Ridge (19-7-7-42) 164.00 2427.5 (6-4)(4-3) 21 73 105 
d - Keller (16-4-4-38) 156.66 2613 (9-3)(5-2) 26 100 159 
Colleyville Heritage (34-4-9-28) 154.92 2222 (3-7)(2-5) 28 120 187 
e - FW/NRH/Bdv. Richland (18-5-3-26) 145.28 2027 (6-5)(5-2) 47 193 331 4A to 5A
FW/HC/Bdv. Haltom (12-3-3-25) 137.72 2567 (3-7)(2-5) 57 231 447 
a--Projected to win the Div. I Championship a - Lost 16-15 to Katy 5A Div. II State Championship
b--Projected to win the Div. II Championship b - Lost 43-35 to La Marque 4A Div. II State Final
c--Projected to go to the Div. II Bi-district c - Lost 30-7 to Arlington 5A Div. II Bi-district
d - Lost 42-28 to Irving 5A Div. II Area
e - Lost 32-22 to Wichita Falls Rider 4A Div. I Bi-district
Check out the Coaches Preseason Top 10 and District projections along with My Top 10.
The coaches rankings and district projections are based on totals of every questionnaire that was received with points awarded for 1st thru 10th place.  Teams with 1st place votes are in parenthesis.
Coaches 5A Top 10 Points   Jerry's 5A Top 10 Rating   Coaches Picks
1 Southlake Carroll (24) 414  1 Southlake Carroll (Div. I) 205.78   District 5
2 Galena Park North Shore (10) 300  2 Denton Ryan (Div. II) 204.85  1 Southlake Carroll
3 Katy (10) 289  3 Allen 202.74  2 Denton Ryan
4 Conroe The Woodlands (7) 265  4 Galena Park North Shore 200.45  3 Keller Fossil Ridge
5 Lufkin (4) 226  5 Katy 191.81  4 Grapevine
6 Denton Ryan (3) 147  6 Conroe The Woodlands 189.67  5 Keller
7 Arlington Lamar 114  7 Aldine Eisenhower 189.26  6 Colleyville Heritage
8 Tyler Lee 114  8 Arlington Lamar 188.25  7 FW/NRH/Bdv. Richland
9 Allen 113  9 Dallas Carter 188.23  8 FW/HC/Bdv. Haltom
10 Midland Lee (1) 104  10 Midland Lee 187.97   
 
Season records over the past decade
District 5 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 Yrs Rec Total %
Southlake Carroll (6-5) (10-1) (3-6-1) (7-5) (12-2) (6-4) (9-5) (10-5) (16-0) (15-1) 10 (94-34-1) 0.73
Grapevine (7-2-1) (9-3) (15-0) (8-4) (10-4) (5-6) (7-4) (8-4) (5-5) (8-3) 10 (82-35-1) 0.70
Denton Ryan (3-7) (2-8) (1-9) (4-6) (2-8) (1-9) (12-3) (15-0) (15-1) (14-2) 10 (69-53-0) 0.57
FW/HC/Bdv. Haltom (4-6) (4-5) (11-1) (11-1) (7-4) (5-5) (6-5) (2-8) (1-9) (2-8) 10 (53-52-0) 0.50
Keller (3-7) (4-5-1) (5-6) (5-5) (5-5) (4-6) (5-5) (6-4) (5-5) (9-3) 10 (51-51-1) 0.50
FW/NRH/Bdv. Richland (4-5) (7-4) (8-2-1) (3-7) (4-6) (2-8) (7-3) (3-7) (2-8) (7-4) 10 (47-54-1) 0.47
Colleyville Heritage (0-0) (0-0) (0-10) (5-5) (9-4) (6-5) (3-7) (10-2) (9-2) (3-7) 8 (45-42-0) 0.52
Keller Fossil Ridge (0-0) (0-0) (0-9) (2-8) (2-8) (5-5) (8-4) (11-3) (3-7) (6-4) 8 (37-48-0) 0.44
Team Outlook
FW/NRH/Bdv. Richland  - Coach Gene Wier (7-4-0) at FW/NRH/Bdv. Richland and (195-40-0) Overall, Offense (Spread), Defense (4-2-5), returns 18 letterman 5 offensive 3 defensive starters with 26 letterman lost from a (7-4) Div. I Bi-district team.  Overall Strength (defense), Strengths on offense (running back, offensive line), Strengths on defense (defensive line).  Notes from the Coach: Most pressing issue is to replace QB Ryne Miller (Louisiana Monroe), will need to improve secondary, find linebackers, but has decent size on the offensive line. Expectations are to compete every week in a very difficult district.
Colleyville Heritage  - Coach Chris Cunningham (36-40-0) at Colleyville Heritage  and (36-40-0) Overall, Offense (I Back), Defense (4-2-5), returns 34 letterman 4 offensive 9 defensive starters with 28 letterman lost from a (3-7) team. 
FW/HC/Bdv. Haltom  - Coach Kenny Perry (0-0-0) at FW/HC/Bdv. Haltom  and (20-24-0) Overall, Offense (Spread), Defense (4-2-5), returns 12 letterman 3 offensive 3 defensive starters with 25 letterman lost from a (2-8) team.  Overall Strength (defense), Strengths on offense (quarterback, offensive line), Strengths on defense (linebacker).  Notes from the Coach: This program has won only 5 games over the past 3 years.  We will need to have early success.  We also will be very aggressive on both sides of the ball.
Denton Ryan  - Coach Joey Florence (56-6-0) at Denton Ryan  and (109-22-0) Overall, returns 25 letterman 8 offensive 6 defensive starters with 20 letterman lost from a (14-2) 4A Div. II State Finalist playoff team. 
Grapevine  - Coach Gary Mullins (28-16-0) at Grapevine  and (35-28-1) Overall, returns 21 letterman 6 offensive 6 defensive starters with 22 letterman lost from a (8-3) 5A Div. II Bi-district playoff team.
Keller - Coach Kevin Atkinson (14-8-0) at Keller  and (14-8-0) Overall, returns 16 letterman 4 offensive 4 defensive starters with 38 letterman lost from a (9-3) 5A Div. II Area playoff team.
Keller Fossil Ridge - Coach Hal Wasson (6-4-0) at Keller Fossil Ridge and (95-76-3) Overall, returns 19 letterman 7 offensive 7 defensive starters with 42 letterman lost from a (6-4) team.
Southlake Carroll  - Coach Todd Dodge (50-11-0) at Southlake Carroll  and (73-47-0) Overall, returns 27 letterman 6 offensive 5 defensive starters with 34 letterman lost from a (15-1) 5A Div. II State Finalist playoff team.